Tuesday 29 January 2008

2008 Market Comment by Prospect PhD Manager Stuart Ross

Home Truths

With the economy now in a period of uncertainty, Stuart Ross of Prospect Premier Homes, looks at the local property market in 2008 and offers some home truths and sound advice for sellers.

Where have all the TV property programme presenters gone? They are certainly not on our screens any longer, except in endless repeats which now seem to portray a rose-tinted world where property prices are in a never-ending upward spiral. Well, most presenters have disappeared from view because they don’t have a view any longer, or certainly not one they want to air to viewers. They can no longer sensationalise about making big money from new home off-plan purchases, buy-to-lets or fix-ups.

The truth is that the property market is cyclical. All these people seem to surface when the going is good but go to ground when times are less so. Where are they now that the market is hardening up? Why aren’t they telling us how to buck the trend? Because, by-and-large, there is no way to buck the trend. The market is how it is. We all live in a market economy and we all have to work within it – for better or worse. It’s just that we’ve had it better for so long. Many younger estate agents haven’t known anything but a buoyant sellers’ market. Some have set up in business on the basis that estate agency isn’t that difficult. Well it is and it’s going to get more difficult.

So without the TV presenters to offer us their views where is one to go for the right advice? Who does one turn to when the going gets tougher? Like most things in life when you need someone to show you the way it is best to find someone who has been that way before and knows the path well. So if you are selling in 2008 here are some important points about this market that experienced estate agents understand only too well.

  • Don’t believe everything you read in the press. The media is invariably three months behind the market and the national newspapers cannot reflect local market conditions that can swing wildly from county to county and even town to town. Conditions in Berkshire & Hampshire are better than we had dared hope for. Interest rates are low and will probably go lower still. Employment is high. Money is tighter but buyers without a bad credit history are keen to purchase in many areas if the right property becomes available.


  • At the upper end of the market please don’t hold your breath for City whiz kids and overseas buyers with more money than sense. Firstly they have more money because they have sense and invariably they like to buy low and sell high -whatever commodity they are dealing in. Billions were written off city bonuses at the end of last year so there are fewer bonus buyers than we have seen over the past few years. Also it’s not true that Russians are buying everything at the top end of the market, and at full prices, despite what a few national estate agency firms may like to say. A relatively tiny number of houses and flats, mostly in London, are selling to eastern buyers. For the vast majority of sellers within these shores Russian buyers are not the geese that lay the golden eggs – even if one or two are occasionally by Faberge!


  • Start planning your 2008 sale early. Don’t wait for spring!


  • Be prepared to be flexible on price and timing.


  • Remember that property values have risen so much in the past few years even a fairly large negative correction to prices will have little significant effect on those who have owned their property for over three years. The notion of losing out is uncomfortable to anyone, but experienced movers understand they have to take the rough with the smooth.

  • What one loses on the swings one gains on the roundabouts. Price corrections work both ways – on the sale and the purchase. 2008 could be one of the best years in almost a decade for finding a great property. But selling will be a challenge. Would it be easier if things were reversed? Not really. One thing is sure: in property one rarely gets it good both ways! Be realistic.


  • Use an experienced professional to show you the way. Fee-cutting estate agents with fancy offices can be very attractive to the uninitiated, but don’t be beguiled. You get what you pay for. In this market a wise seller needs sage advice based on experience and know-how. Sellers will need the services of those who offer their clients skill and candour as well as respect - not the scant attentions of those who regard other people’s homes simply as commission-generating units of residence, or as another tick on the office dry-board score sheet. If you are selling and don’t want to be a number make sure you get market appraisals from several reputable estate agents and be certain to ask each one how long they have worked in the area. Also ask if they worked through the last property downturn and, most importantly, what they learnt from it.


  • Home Information Packs have now been rolled out to all but a few property types. If your property has been on the market for some months and you are delighted that you weren’t compelled to buy a HIP at the time don’t be too pleased. Before very long the fact that your property doesn’t have a HIP will rather advertise the length of time it has been on the market – not a very good selling point! The best course of action is to obtain a HIP now.


  • Finally there is no reason why a property that is well presented, in good order and priced correctly should not find an eager buyer but the right advice is crucial from the start.

To emphasise this Prospect PhD offer a free market appraisal, which guarantees sellers sound and relevant market insight based on real local knowledge, long experience, a track record of excellent results in bad markets as well as good, and advice from those who certainly know their way in these market conditions. Sellers, at the very least, owe themselves that in 2008.

You can contact us seven days a week on 0118 9799 005 to arrange a free valuation and market update on your property or CLICK HERE

Berkshire Estate Agents Covering Wokingham, Crowthorne, Winnersh, Reading, Warfield, Binfield, Bracknell, Ascot & surrounding areas.

How much is your house worth today?

Before inviting you to take advantage of our free valuation service, with such dramatic changes in the housing market during 2007, I felt it significant to write and outline our vision for 2008.

Initially, reviewing 2007, the first half of the year saw high demand through confidence whilst a lack of properties coming onto the market fuelled price increases. The mid to later part to 2007 interest rates continued to rise; the HIP legislation was enforced accompanied by mortgage criteria changing from lenders due to the volatile US markets. This naturally cooled market conditions, increased uncertainty and in reflection slowed house prices.

Positively for the future, 2007 finished with a reduction in the national base rate in December and with the suggestion of further reductions to come in the first half of 2008. The Governor of the Bank of England took the almost unprecedented step in December of announcing that there is a high chance of further reductions coming soon.

So what does 2008 bring? Of course no one can ever be certain, however we can be sure that Home Information Packs are now part of the buying and selling process, and secondly, we believe that there is a commitment from the Bank of England to increase consumer confidence. Also, with the potential changes to Capital Gains Tax the Government has announced for 2008, we expect a boost in the number of investment buyers seeking properties to purchase.

Taking into account the serious changes that occurred during 2007 and what lies ahead for homeowners, we would like to offer you a free market review, which can include:-

Residential sales – A no obligation market appraisal of your home or investment properties, looking at the whole conveyancing process and explain what Home Information Packs are all about, including what they mean to homeowners.

Independent mortgage advice - Review your current mortgage arrangements in this ever changing market. Appointments can be at home, work or in our office at times to suit you including evenings and weekends when the high street banks are shut. This is with Mark Hemmings – our most experienced INDEPENDENT financial Advisor.

Lettings - Market appraisal of your property’s price and estimated yield. We can also advise on any potential investments that may be worth considering.

If any of the above is of interest to you, please give me a call on 0118 9799 005 and I will be happy to help.

Have a great day

Stuart Ross
Prospect PhD Area Manager

Berkshire Estate Agents Covering Wokingham, Crowthorne, Winnersh, Reading, Warfield, Binfield, Bracknell, Ascot & surrounding areas.

Thursday 3 January 2008

2008 Market Predictions

Well it’s New Year again, so it is time we look ahead and try to predict what will happen in the property market over the coming year!

Below are my personal predictions!

  • There will be two, possibly three, further quarter point cuts in the base rate during the first half of 2008. They will then stay at around 4.5% for the remainder of the year.


  • Prices will continue to soften during the first half of the year at which point bargain hunters, spurred on by lower interest rates, will help to stabilise the summer market. Prices will then remain flat for the rest of the year. Total price falls should be restricted to about 5% on average in Berkshire with the smaller properties, in particular flats taking the brunt.

  • Banks will continue to tighten their lending criteria in reaction to the credit crunch making it even harder for first time buyers to enter the market. This will also lead to a significant slowdown in the buy-to-let market.

  • Rents will increase significantly as a result of the additional demand (from those that can’t get a mortgage) and reduced supply.


  • The introduction of Energy Performance Certificates for rental properties in October will take most buy-to-let Landlords by surprise (just like the Tenancy Deposit Scheme did) leading to a last minute panic to avoid penalties. We’ll do our best to remind you regularly!


  • Here at PhD we will continue to provide our clients with an unrivalled service & achieve many sales!!!

A happy and prosperous New Year from all at Prospect PhD!

Berkshire Estate Agents Covering Wokingham, Crowthorne, Winnersh, Reading, Warfield, Binfield, Bracknell, Ascot & surrounding areas.